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  #166 (permalink)   Spam Kill
Old 03-03-2006, 01:56 AM
diameister diameister is offline
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Wink what to do...

It depends what you want to do with it.. what kind of risk you can tolerate... if I were you (unfortunately at the moment I am not walking this talk)

If you want to handle your own trades. YOU NEED TO DO SOME READING that's a lot of money and you want to be smart about it!! Jim Cramers book is good; I liked Ahead Of The Market by Mitch Zacks or Go to an online investment service like vectorvest.com ( I like vector vest myself ) . They have impartial buy sell or hold recomendations. Diversification and buying solid companies across many industries that are receiving upward earnings estimates, getting positve earnings surprizes, upgraded analyst recomendations, positive consensus earnings estimates over time, low p/e ratios. Buy for 1 to 3 months based on the financial quarters; selling on any red flags, 10% stop loss orders, while trying to keep trading costs below 3% with a low cost online broker. Hows that for a mouth full?? This is what my plan is when the time is right and is only IMHO.

If you like Tah and want to take a larger postion based on speculation; fill your boots but remember that nothing is full proof! Think what it would feel like if you lost a good chunk 150 000 ; I think that would feel just like a kick in the nards, not much fun. Personally I like Tahera and I am just about "all in" but talk to anyone that knows what they are talking about and they will say I am a crazy man. I've heard it more than a few times; i'm sort of getting used to it by now. I'm a gambler and Tahera is my horse; i'm betting she'll come in by a nose. That's my two cents..

D.




Quote:
Originally Posted by locomo
This is my first post but I have been watching for a while.
I hope this question isn't too naive but here goes.
I sold my house and have about 150,000 sitting around in money funds (2.75% return).
I know nothing in the markets is a sure thing however it seems that there are a lot of you here who feel that Tahera has pretty limited risk.
This is really all the money that I have but I was thinking (Worse case scenario) that even if Jerico's actual diamond production turned out to be a disappointment the stock would not fall to zero because of all the other kimberlite deposits.
Here is my stupid question....If you were me how much would you invest.
I know I am inviting all kinds of comments about everyone having different risk tolerances and such but I'm just asking ...what would you do if you had this money just sitting there.
thanks for any insight.
__________________
Have a great one!

Last edited by diameister : 03-03-2006 at 02:00 AM.
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  #167 (permalink)   Spam Kill
Old 03-03-2006, 10:02 AM
Eradicator Eradicator is offline
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Good morning

Quote:
Originally Posted by GolfDude
hey Eradicator,
it all sounds good, but we all know how the business works; the big fish eats the small one... sure it would be beneficial to us if we could hang onto our shares in Tahera and its tremendous reserves and potential. but how? can we all agree to veto any attempt? probably not. and even if we did, we are just a drop in a huge bucket . most investors probably won't gamble on a questionable outcome, but rather settle for a quick profit. I suppose most participants here on this board have been buying/holding Tahere for a long time and it is easy to get "attached" to it, build up expectations and stuff. but the BIG problem is that if the "dream" has real ground (i.e. the company has huge reserves or tremendous potential to expand), then it will be also just too bloody attractive to be scooped up. in essence it's almost like a "paradox" in my view. if you are a star, everybody is after you. management would almost have to be like Nemo, the little clown fish in the big sea . you have to be really smart and lucky (!) to manouver around and in between the big fish. and perhaps that's one reason why Mr. Gillin didn't give a "flashy" presentation the other day. he almost wants to "downplay" the whole thing? just a thought. of course the results will speak sooner or later, so you can't hide your real worth for ever . just my interpretation.
gd
Hey GD,

I think you were actually responding to part of Enviro's post which was in one of my posts, anyway, well put.

Locomo,

The exact amount that you should invest is the amount that you can live without. None of us think that Tahera will be down to zero anytime soon but tell that to people who had their money in Bre-x, Nortel, Worldcom, Enron, Stelco (today or tomorrow!), etc, etc. I am relatively young and if by some freak of nature, all my investment properties were vapourized this afternoon, it would certainly hurt me but it wouldn't ruin me. Think how much of the money you could literally throw away today and not have it affect your day to day life or your future plans (retirement), take that amount and put it into the market, take the remainder and spread it across investments based on professional investment advice...you probably won't get the same return with the professional but you'll have a better chance of avoiding catastrophe (and sleepless nights). I'm probably more conservative than Diamiester (although I think he's starting to wear off on me a bit) but I don't want my stock investments in any way to adversely affect my family if a "vapourization" does occur.

Good luck and use sites like this to guide your research but at the end of the day do your own DD...it's your money, it should be invested on the information that YOU have found and that YOU trust.

Have a great day!
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  #168 (permalink)   Spam Kill
Old 03-03-2006, 02:23 PM
Conor Conor is offline
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Anuri and or Muskox results

Does anybody know when the results for the Anuri and or MUskox mines are expected and which is expected first?

Conor
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  #169 (permalink)   Spam Kill
Old 03-03-2006, 02:36 PM
Eradicator Eradicator is offline
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Muskox and Anuri

Quote:
Originally Posted by Conor
Does anybody know when the results for the Anuri and or MUskox mines are expected and which is expected first?

Conor
Hey Conor,

According to the TAH website, we can expect an announcement on Muskox during the third quarter (late summer). See below for details.

http://www.tahera.com/polar.html


Anuri, no specific date set, exploration will continue, yada, yada, yada...see below.

http://www.tahera.com/anuri.html

Have a great day!
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  #170 (permalink)   Spam Kill
Old 03-03-2006, 03:09 PM
Pooz Pooz is offline
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Locomo's Conundrum

Greetings to all from north of 60! First time poster....long time peruser. Locomo...there is too much about you we do not know. Your age, disposable income, debts, assets, etc. So I agree with the answer from Eradicator. Invest what you can live without. That being said, if you have 150 000 for investing, don't drop it all in Tahera. I have owned Tahera commencing at 14 cents. I believe in it, but it is not the end all be all. I would put some in RRSP mutual funds to create a tax shelter for instance. Look around the markets. It's too bad you did not have this money to put into Kodiak Exploration last year when it dipped to around 25 cents...cause it's flirting at the $2.00 level today. That's the kind of dream percentage increase you would like in a one year return!
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  #171 (permalink)   Spam Kill
Old 03-03-2006, 03:48 PM
Cruce Cruce is offline
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Fish...

Quote:
Originally Posted by diameister
What a Excellent post this was Golf dude!.. Your comparison is right on the button; very elloquently put. My views are the same; but, you just communicated it much better than I could have. Well done!
D.
Hey D.

You just liked that one because of the fish analogy
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  #172 (permalink)   Spam Kill
Old 03-03-2006, 08:35 PM
traderstocks traderstocks is offline
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Technical Analysis

I noticed someone posted technical analysis on tah before, and I noticed an update www.stockmarketta.com/2006/Mar/1/stockTA.html any comments??
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  #173 (permalink)   Spam Kill
Old 03-03-2006, 09:12 PM
chum495 chum495 is offline
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Jan - 30% production: 935.1ton/day x 30% = 280.5 t/day x 1.4 ct/ton = 392.7 carats x $159.00/ct = $62,439.30.00, minus the cost/day of production of $140,000.00 = a loss of $77,560.70/day x 15 days production equals a loss of $1,163,401.50 for Jan.

Feb - 60% production: 935.1t/day x 60% = 561t/day x 1.4 ct/ton = 785.48 carats x $159.00/ct = $124,891.00/day x 28days = $3,496,974.60, minus costs of production of $3,920,000.00 ($140,000.00/day x 28 days). This leaves a loss of $423,026.00 for the month of Feb.

Mar - 95% production: 1000t/day x 95% = 950 t/day x 1.4 ct/ton = 1330 ct/day x $159.00/ct = $211,470.00/day (=$6,555,570.00/month), minus production costs of $140,000.00/day ($4,340,000.00)which equals $2,215,570.00.00 profit for Mar.

April 2006 to March 2007 (fiscal year end) – Full production = 1000t/day x 1.4 ct/ton = 1400 ct/day x $159.00/ct = $222,600/day x 365 days minus the above 3 months (74 days) = $64,776,600.00 – minus production cost of 291 days x $140,000.00/day = $24,036,600.00 profit plus March’s profit of $2,215,570.00 = $26,252,170.00 minus the first 2 months losses of $1,586,427.50 leaves A GRAND YEAR PROFIT OF: $24,665,743.00

ASSUMPTIONS:
1. All numbers, rates and static figures are taken directly from Tahera website as of today
2. First area being produced is from the centre kimberlite, which can be processed at 935.1 tonnes per day as per Tahera’s statement on the website
3. Assumed that the quality of diamonds is 10% on the better side, which is what I am hearing from those in the know here on this site, so I used $159.00/ct
4. Assumed that by March, production rates are tweaked to the hilt, and the plant is running smoothly, so I have upped the tones processed per day by 65 tones (small value, most likely a few extra dump loads of raw material) to 95% production


Thanks Maclay from stockhouse for the technical data

Chum

Last edited by chum495 : 03-03-2006 at 09:16 PM.
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  #174 (permalink)   Spam Kill
Old 03-03-2006, 10:28 PM
nwtcam nwtcam is offline
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Thumbs up Pooz, You're from North of 60?

You should feel pretty comfortable with Tahera then... just sitting up by the airport, watching the Super-B semi tankers arranging in 4x2 and 4x3 patterns every 20 minutes to head up to the diamond mines sure provides comfort!

I saw a few other names thrown around here by people advising to 'always watch out' and 'remember when...' but also remember... Tahera is much different than 'those others', as how many of those had 'finds' in Canada... and operating 'mines' in Canada! They were from/operating in/had finds in other countries

I won't give anyone advice on what to do... I always advise DYODD... but I myself DID decide to invest heavy here, when all my neighors started getting hired by Tahera (and many people from BHP's Ekati diamind mine too that I know got 'scooped' by Tahera, eh 'Kevin')

When I poured my mutuals into Tahera on the last dip, the wife asked 'are you sure' and went ... but as I told her if it works out... we retire at 40 or 45... if it just goes up a bit... we retire at 50-55 and if a meteorite hits the tundra and puts it under water and the ice cap melts... we work until 60-70!

I can live with those odds... but you have to have a strong stomach and hands investing heavy, cause when thing go 'up' 5 cents, and your investment account is up $25,000 in a few hours that's the easy part... but even just a 3 cent drop, or -$15K in a day in the account can get un-nerving after 2 or 3 days in a row (like .83 to .73 last month), but you have to remind yourself of your targets and the goal why you invested... many dips in the road... and vultures out there who'll try and scare out your shares... or hope you'll get impatient... I am blessed with mucho patience!

The wife too thought the reward out weighed the 'risk'! So here we are!

Just my opinion... and I wouldn't recommend action like that on just any stock... Only on something YOU are certain of... not what 'someone else' or 'some poster' says... YOU need to be secure... I just have the 'advantage' to being able to work up here with and around all the diamond mines and companies contracting to them... and that provides a much better comfort level... even when the 40s I bought at dipped back to the teens a few years back... we just loaded up even more... since we knew and saw what's going on up here... just took patience... but I missed ABER's trip from .50 to $50 and swore I wouldn't miss this one!
I've learned not to invest in 'off shore' or 3rd world projects... too risky there IMO, and I can't 'see' what's really going on with my own 2 eyes! To me, that's the 'bird in hand!'

Just my thoughts... always do what's best for you... Have a great night!

-Cam

Last edited by nwtcam : 03-03-2006 at 10:32 PM.
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  #175 (permalink)   Spam Kill
Old 03-04-2006, 04:42 AM
Pooz Pooz is offline
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In the south of north of 60

Hey Cam, I am south of the lake in Smith. You are much closer to the action, and your info and observations are greatly appreciated. I wish I had had the money to sink into Tahera that I am guessing you have. I won't be able to retire, but it will be a nice bump up. I have resisted swapping RRSP mutual funds and a few other holdings for more Tahera. I admire your roll of the dice. People need to stay the course and not be swayed by fear mongering. I think everybody needs to take a deep breath and go on to other things in life for a while...relax and get ready for a good ride when it comes. Everybody have a good weekend!
Quote:
Originally Posted by nwtcam
You should feel pretty comfortable with Tahera then... just sitting up by the airport, watching the Super-B semi tankers arranging in 4x2 and 4x3 patterns every 20 minutes to head up to the diamond mines sure provides comfort!

I saw a few other names thrown around here by people advising to 'always watch out' and 'remember when...' but also remember... Tahera is much different than 'those others', as how many of those had 'finds' in Canada... and operating 'mines' in Canada! They were from/operating in/had finds in other countries

I won't give anyone advice on what to do... I always advise DYODD... but I myself DID decide to invest heavy here, when all my neighors started getting hired by Tahera (and many people from BHP's Ekati diamind mine too that I know got 'scooped' by Tahera, eh 'Kevin')

When I poured my mutuals into Tahera on the last dip, the wife asked 'are you sure' and went ... but as I told her if it works out... we retire at 40 or 45... if it just goes up a bit... we retire at 50-55 and if a meteorite hits the tundra and puts it under water and the ice cap melts... we work until 60-70!

I can live with those odds... but you have to have a strong stomach and hands investing heavy, cause when thing go 'up' 5 cents, and your investment account is up $25,000 in a few hours that's the easy part... but even just a 3 cent drop, or -$15K in a day in the account can get un-nerving after 2 or 3 days in a row (like .83 to .73 last month), but you have to remind yourself of your targets and the goal why you invested... many dips in the road... and vultures out there who'll try and scare out your shares... or hope you'll get impatient... I am blessed with mucho patience!

The wife too thought the reward out weighed the 'risk'! So here we are!

Just my opinion... and I wouldn't recommend action like that on just any stock... Only on something YOU are certain of... not what 'someone else' or 'some poster' says... YOU need to be secure... I just have the 'advantage' to being able to work up here with and around all the diamond mines and companies contracting to them... and that provides a much better comfort level... even when the 40s I bought at dipped back to the teens a few years back... we just loaded up even more... since we knew and saw what's going on up here... just took patience... but I missed ABER's trip from .50 to $50 and swore I wouldn't miss this one!
I've learned not to invest in 'off shore' or 3rd world projects... too risky there IMO, and I can't 'see' what's really going on with my own 2 eyes! To me, that's the 'bird in hand!'

Just my thoughts... always do what's best for you... Have a great night!

-Cam
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  #176 (permalink)   Spam Kill
Old 03-04-2006, 08:11 AM
NorthernPike NorthernPike is offline
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Taherian comes out of the closet.....

I have been lurking in the background for a long time and actually started to feel quilty about it....lol...... For the record I am long on Tahera and my portfolio held a large percentage of this stock which I trimmed a bit awhile ago as it was time to re-balance a bit. (main reason being age and time horizon).
Anyways, I couldn't but help think about the person who was realizing $150K from a house sale and was considering Tahera. I believe strongly in Tahera, but having said that a new investor should spend a little time understanding 'investment fundamentals 101' and creating some tried and true investment stratagies. Putting all the eggs in one basket is not a good thing no matter what your assets are. Just my opinion of course, and as for myself, I stumbled through the school of 'rolled dice' before I understood the importance of a plan and more so investment discipline.
I agree with the comment that 'tahera is not the end all be all'.......but it's a very nice part of my portfolio.......
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  #177 (permalink)   Spam Kill
Old 03-04-2006, 11:20 AM
Taherian dream Taherian dream is offline
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From Tahera site; 4Qtr result on Friday

Friday, March 10, 2006 - 2005 Year-End Results: Conference Call
Time: 11:00 AM EST
Dial In Participant Number: (416) 644-3431
Toll free Access: (800) 814-4941

Conference Replay from
Friday March 10, 2006 at 2:00pm (ET) to
Wednesday May 10, 2006 at 11:59pm ....

http://www.integratir.com/calendar.asp?ticker=t.tah
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  #178 (permalink)   Spam Kill
Old 03-04-2006, 12:35 PM
SonofBohr SonofBohr is offline
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I was a bit surprised by "stockmarketta"

I went through their last 6 predictions... and they only had 1 right (EMC)...
Wonder if they get much for donations on predictions that work out..
A couple of the stocks they suggested would have upward trends did have short small gains... but 1 week, 1 month later are way down...

Check for yourself.. would be easy money if they were right..


Quote:
Originally Posted by traderstocks
I noticed someone posted technical analysis on tah before, and I noticed an update www.stockmarketta.com/2006/Mar/1/stockTA.html any comments??
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  #179 (permalink)   Spam Kill
Old 03-04-2006, 01:07 PM
wymwood wymwood is offline
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PDAC starts today in T.O.

Tahera presentation is Tuesday 4:20 PM

http://www.pdac.ca/pdac/conv/index.html
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  #180 (permalink)   Spam Kill
Old 03-04-2006, 02:57 PM
traderstocks traderstocks is offline
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I wouldn't buy based on anyones recommendation, don't believe anyone except for me of course I also went back to check out past picks, and I noticed more positive outcomes then negative. You are right, EMC is a good pick so far, and even last time on TAH, they were right, not sure if you saw the previous analysis on TAH. MTM, HAO, WEDX, CCZ are some others that are doing good, CCZ is a recent one, so far so good. They have a link to goto all of their prior picks, plain and simple to the point kinda stuff. StockMarketTA.com doesn't just say buy or sell, they tell you what to watch out for, thats the main part I like. Plus, its a trading site, if you make money on a selection, take profits!! Definately, have to do your own homework, but interesting read.

Anyways....interesting TAH outlook, lets see what happens!

Quote:
Originally Posted by SonofBohr
I was a bit surprised by "stockmarketta"

I went through their last 6 predictions... and they only had 1 right (EMC)...
Wonder if they get much for donations on predictions that work out..
A couple of the stocks they suggested would have upward trends did have short small gains... but 1 week, 1 month later are way down...

Check for yourself.. would be easy money if they were right..
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